2018 Oscar Predictions

Oscar Predictions 2018

2018 oscar nominations

The 2018 Oscars are finally upon us, and like past years I will be predicting most of the categories.  There is a bit of intrigue around this years awards.  While some of the acting categories seem to be sure things, the best picture race is down to about 3 serious contenders.  In past years, the academy awards have been a bit unpredictable, and I’m sure this year’s show will have its share of surprises as well.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

blade runner oscars

Blade Runner 2049
Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

I think that Blade Runner 2049 will clean up a lot of the smaller categories in the fashion that Mad Max Fury Road did a few years back.  I wouldn’t be all that upset or surprised if War for The Planet of the Apes took this one though.

BEST FILM EDITING

dunkirk oscars

Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This could go to The Shape of Water, but I’m going to say it is probably Dunkirk‘s award to lose.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Victoria & Abdul

Considering Phantom Thread is a movie about wardrobe, I think it has the best chance here.

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Darkest Hour
Victoria & Abdul
Wonder

Gary Oldman is unrecognizable as Winston Churchill and the films makeup artist Kazuhiro Tsuji gets commended here.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

blade-runner-2049-oscars

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water

The two major storylines here are Rachel Morrison being the first woman ever nominated for this award and Roger Deakins getting his 14th nomination having went home empty in each of his previous nominations, which are both pretty crazy.  I think that Deakins will win here and is more than deserving for his work on BR2049.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Shape_of_Water_3

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

The Shape of Water will probably end up being a big winner throughout the night and this is one of the awards I expect it to go home with.  Beauty and the Beast and Blade Runner 2049 will also be major contenders here.

BEST SOUND MIXING

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

I’m going with Baby Driver here because of how much music is involved in the film.  Dunkirk is probably the safest bet here though.

ansel-elgort-in-baby-driver.jpg

BEST SOUND EDITING

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

The use of sound in Dunkirk is phenomenal and it should bring home at least one sound award.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Mighty River,” Mudbound
“Mystery of Love,” Call Me by Your Name
“Remember Me,” Coco
“Stand Up for Something,” Marshall
“This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman

This award probably goes to either “This is Me” or “Remember Me” but if I was voting I would easily decide on “Mighty River.”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Phantom Thread Oscars

Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I am almost sure that Alexandre Desplat’s amazing score for The Shape of Water will win here, but maybe Hans Zimmer has a chance.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Abacus (Small Enough to Jail)
Faces/Places
Icarus
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island

I haven’t seen any of these yet, but I am planning to watch Faces/Places, and I love Agnès Varda so hopefully she wins.

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

A Fantastic Woman, Chile
The Insult, Lebanon
Loveless, Russia
On Body and Soul, Hungary
The Square, Sweden

The Square is the only one of these films that I have seen, so I will go with it here although I am planning to see A Fantastic Woman which could win as well.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

coco-Oscars

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

This seems like an easy choice.  The fact that The Boss Baby is an Oscar nominee is pretty comical to me, and also signals a pretty down year in animation.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

call-me-by-your-name

James Ivory, Call Me by Your Name
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber, The Disaster Artist
Scott Frank and James Mangold and Michael Green, Logan
Aaron Sorkin, Molly’s Game
Virgil Williams and Dee Rees, Mudbound

I would LOVE to see The Disaster Artist or especially Logan win here, but it will most likely go to James Ivory for Call Me By Your Name.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

lady-bird-v1-0007_lb_00000-1.jpg

Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani, The Big Sick
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor, The Shape of Water
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This is probably the tightest race of the night as I can see just about everyone of these films winning.  If I had to choose I would put my money on Three Billboards, but also Lady Bird, Get Out and The Shape of Water have fantastic screenplays.  This was definitely a great year for writing.   Personally I’d love to see Lady Bird win.

BEST DIRECTOR

levy-gerwig-ladybird-ht-mem-180202_16x9_992.jpg

Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out

I think that GDT wins this award and is the most deserving, but I also love Greta Gerwig so I probably wouldn’t be too upset to see her take home the award.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe The Florida Project

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

While this award will most likely go to Sam Rockwell who has dominated awards season, I would love to see Willem Dafoe win for my favorite performance of the year in The Florida Project.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

8-lavona-golden-allison-janney-at-work-in-i-tonya-courtesy-of-neon-and-30west.jpg

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

I think for a while this was a two person race between Janney and Metcalf, the two best on screen mothers of the year.  As the awards season has went on, Janney has become the odds on favorite and will probably walk away with the award.

BEST ACTOR

Film Title: Get Out

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

This seems to be the easiest race to predict as, it is Gary Oldman’s award to lose for sure.

BEST ACTRESS

THREE-BILLBOARDS-OUTSIDE-EBBING-MISSOURI

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep, The Post
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

This is another fairly easy race to predict as Frances McDormand all but has the award wrapped up already for her fantastic turn in Three Billboards.

BEST PICTURE

la-forma-del-agua-guillermo-del-toro-cine-elhype.jpg

Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

This a race between Three Billboards, The Shape of Water, Lady Bird, and Get Out.  Three Billboards has won quite a bit on the awards circuit so far this year which makes it a serious contender.  Get Out was the most buzzed about in the category.  Lady Bird is just a perfectly written coming of age movie, and I wouldn’t be upset at all if it won.  However when I was watching The Shape Of Water for the first time I couldn’t help, but imagine it being the film labled Best Picture for 2018.  Guillermo Del Toro’s fairy tale gets its fairy tale ending.

 

2 thoughts on “Oscar Predictions 2018

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s